Spain U19 vs Germany U19 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spain U19 2.7 – 1.0 Germany U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Spain U19 are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for Germany U19.
Spain U19 have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 4.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Germany U19 have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. Spain U19 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.7 for Spain U19, 1.0 for Germany U19). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Spain U19 have won 1, Germany U19 have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is better than our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spain U19 to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Spain U19 or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Half-time result | Spain U19 ahead at half-time ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spain U19 / FT Spain U19 ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.20 | – |
Form
Spain U19 – last 6
| 8 Jul | vs Croatia U19 | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | vs Germany U19 | 4–0 | W |
| 1 Jul | @ Denmark U19 | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | @ Wales U19 | 7–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Netherlands U19 | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Slovenia U19 | 4–0 | W |
Germany U19 – last 6
| 8 Jul | @ Ukraine U19 | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Spain U19 | 0–4 | L |
| 1 Jul | @ Wales U19 | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Denmark U19 | 4–3 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Austria U19 | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Sweden U19 | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 4 Jul 2026 | Spain U19 v Germany U19 | 4–0 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
On our numbers Spain U19 have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Germany U19 9%.
How many goals will there be in Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Spain U19 vs Germany U19?
Spain U19 vs Germany U19 (UEFA U19 Championship) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.