Persha Liga · Ukraine

UCSA

LWDLL
1–1
FT

Probiy Horodenka

DLDWW

UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultProbiy Horodenka to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Win chances

UCSA35%fair 2.84 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Probiy Horodenka41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
2.96Expected goals
1.42UCSA xG
1.55Probiy Horodenka xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: UCSA 1.4 – 1.5 Probiy Horodenka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates UCSA and Probiy Horodenka on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

UCSA have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Probiy Horodenka have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for UCSA, 1.5 for Probiy Horodenka). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, UCSA have won 0, Probiy Horodenka have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultProbiy Horodenka to win ✗41%2.442.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Probiy Horodenka / FT Probiy Horodenka ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.43–

Form

UCSA – last 6

LWDLLD
1 Nov@ Kulykiv0–2L
25 Octvs Lokomotiv Kyiv3–2W
17 Oct@ Kolos Kovalivka II0–0D
11 Octvs Yarud Mariupol'1–2L
4 Oct@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk2–3L
26 Sepvs Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Probiy Horodenka – last 6

DLDWWL
1 Novvs Nyva Ternopil2–2D
24 Oct@ Oleksandria0–2L
18 Octvs Polissya II1–1D
10 Octvs SK Poltava3–2W
4 Oct@ Kulykiv2–1W
26 Sepvs Lokomotiv Kyiv0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Probiy Horodenka v UCSA1–0

More Persha Liga predictions

FT Oleksandria1 SK Poltava0 651916 1Oleksandria to win 65%@1.86 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?

On our numbers UCSA have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Probiy Horodenka 41%.

How many goals will there be in UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka?

UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.