Persha Liga · Ukraine · OSC Metalist
Metal Kharkiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Lokomotiv Kyiv to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Metal Kharkiv 1.3 – 1.2 Lokomotiv Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Metal Kharkiv have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Lokomotiv Kyiv have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Metal Kharkiv, 1.2 for Lokomotiv Kyiv). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Lokomotiv Kyiv to win at 2.95 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Metal Kharkiv to win ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Metal Kharkiv / FT Metal Kharkiv ✓ | 22% | 4.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.54 | – |
Form
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Kolos Kovalivka II | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ LNZ Cherkasy | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Yarud Mariupol' | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Prykarpattia | 0–0 | D |
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Inhulets | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ UCSA | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Nyva Ternopil | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Oleksandria | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Polissya II | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Probiy Horodenka | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv.
More Persha Liga predictions
Prykarpattia1
Yarud Mariupol'1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.33
✓
FT
Nyva Ternopil4
Polissya II2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.26
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
On our numbers Metal Kharkiv have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv Kyiv 37%.
How many goals will there be in Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at OSC Metalist.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.