Premier League · Armenia · Armavir stadium
Sardarapat
Ararat
Sardarapat vs Ararat prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Ararat to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sardarapat 1.4 – 1.4 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sardarapat and Ararat on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sardarapat have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Ararat have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Sardarapat, 1.4 for Ararat). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Sardarapat have won 1, Ararat have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.71. For a bigger price, Ararat to win at 2.80 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sardarapat to win ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sardarapat / FT Sardarapat ✓ | 22% | 4.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 9% | 11.64 | – |
Form
Sardarapat – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Van | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | vs FC Urartu | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Gandzasar | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs FC Noah | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ BKMA | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Alashkert | 1–1 | D |
Ararat – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Alashkert | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Pyunik Yerevan | 2–6 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Van | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Shirak | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ FC Urartu | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Syunik | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 7 Aug 2026 | Ararat v Sardarapat | 1–2 |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Sardarapat v Ararat | 1–1 |
More Premier League predictions
FC Noah1
Shirak0
1FC Noah to win
70%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sardarapat vs Ararat?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sardarapat vs Ararat?
On our numbers Sardarapat have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ararat 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sardarapat vs Ararat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Sardarapat vs Ararat?
Sardarapat vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Armavir stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.