FAW Championship · WalesLlantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians prediction & analysis
Cardiff Draconians to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Llantwit Major 1.1 – 2.2 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cardiff Draconians travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 21% for Llantwit Major.
Llantwit Major have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.3 per game. Cardiff Draconians have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.1 for Llantwit Major, 2.2 for Cardiff Draconians). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%).
Our pick is Cardiff Draconians to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cardiff Draconians to win | 64% | 1.55 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time result | Cardiff Draconians ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians | 40% | 2.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 10% | 10.15 | – |
Form
Llantwit Major – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Trethomas Bluebirds | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs Newport City | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Trefelin | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Pontardawe Town | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Pontypridd Town | 1–4 | L |
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Swansea University | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | vs Afan Lido | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Trethomas Bluebirds | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Radnor Valley | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Carmarthen Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Newport City | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llantwit Major and Cardiff Draconians.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
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RhylFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our pick is Cardiff Draconians to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
On our numbers Llantwit Major have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cardiff Draconians 64%.
How many goals will there be in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.