3. Division · Denmark · ALPI Arena Naesby
Næsby
ASA Aarhus
Næsby vs ASA Aarhus prediction & analysis
Næsby to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Næsby 2.2 – 0.9 ASA Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Næsby are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for ASA Aarhus.
Næsby have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. ASA Aarhus have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 for Næsby, 0.9 for ASA Aarhus). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Næsby have won 0, ASA Aarhus have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Næsby to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Næsby to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Næsby or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.52 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.54 |
| Half-time result | Næsby ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Næsby / FT Næsby ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.17 | – |
Form
Næsby – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Brønshøj | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Holbæk B&I | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Vanløse | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Frem | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Holstebro | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Ringsted | 2–1 | W |
ASA Aarhus – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Frem | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Vanløse | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Sundby | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ FC Helsingor | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Holbæk B&I | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Hørsholm-Usserød | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 13 Sep 2026 | ASA Aarhus v Næsby | 1–0 |
More 3. Division predictions
Frem3
Ishøj1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.41
✗
FT
Vanløse1
Hørsholm-Usserød2
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.50
✓
FT
Holstebro2
Ringsted1
GGBoth teams to score
71%@1.33
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
Our pick is Næsby to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
On our numbers Næsby have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ASA Aarhus 13%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Næsby vs ASA Aarhus?
Næsby vs ASA Aarhus (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.