2. Bundesliga · Germany · Holstein-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Arminia Bielefeld to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.3 – 1.4 Arminia Bielefeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Holstein Kiel have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Arminia Bielefeld have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for Holstein Kiel, 1.4 for Arminia Bielefeld). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Arminia Bielefeld to win at 2.70 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arminia Bielefeld to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arminia Bielefeld / FT Arminia Bielefeld ✓ | 22% | 4.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.72 | – |
Form
Holstein Kiel – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Dynamo Dresden | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Hertha BSC | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Oct | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Viborg | 3–1 | W |
Arminia Bielefeld – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Eintracht Braunschweig | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Hertha BSC | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs VfL Osnabrück | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ VfL Bochum | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Rot-Weiß Essen | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
1. FC Nürnberg2
SV Darmstadt 980
1X1. FC Nürnberg or draw
88%@1.20
✓
FT
VfL Osnabrück0
1. FC Kaiserslautern1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.22
✗
FT
Hertha BSC2
VfL Wolfsburg1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
67%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arminia Bielefeld 40%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.