Primera División Femenina · Spain · Estadi Johan Cruyff
Barcelona W
Madrid CFF W
Barcelona W vs Madrid CFF W prediction & analysis
Over 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.50 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +89%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.2 – 1.3 Madrid CFF W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barcelona W are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 14% for Madrid CFF W.
Barcelona W have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 4.8 and conceding 0.3 per game. Madrid CFF W have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded. Barcelona W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.5 goals (3.2 for Barcelona W, 1.3 for Madrid CFF W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–1 (8%), 2–1 (7%), 4–1 (6%).
In their last 1 meeting, Barcelona W have won 1, Madrid CFF W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.39. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 3.50 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barcelona W to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.01 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 3.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Barcelona W ahead at half-time ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.67 | – |
Form
Barcelona W – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ FC Levante Badalona W | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Køge W | 8–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Granada | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Real Sociedad W | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Madrid W | 7–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Roma W | 6–0 | W |
Madrid CFF W – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Deportivo de La Coruña W | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Eibar W | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Atletico Madrid W | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Athletic Club W | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Deportivo Alavés W | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Espanyol W | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Madrid CFF W v Barcelona W | 0–4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Madrid CFF W?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Barcelona W vs Madrid CFF W?
On our numbers Barcelona W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Madrid CFF W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Madrid CFF W?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Barcelona W vs Madrid CFF W?
Barcelona W vs Madrid CFF W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Johan Cruyff.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.