Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain
Real Madrid III
Real Valladolid II
Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 3.06 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.4 – 1.3 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Real Madrid III and Real Valladolid II on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Real Madrid III have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Real Valladolid II have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Real Valladolid II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Real Madrid III, 1.3 for Real Valladolid II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Real Valladolid II to win at 3.06 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Real Madrid III to win ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.02 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.58 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III ✗ | 22% | 4.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.02 | – |
Form
Real Madrid III – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Real Ávila | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Conquense | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ RSD Alcalá | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Atlético Tordesillas | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Guadalajara | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Atlético Paso | 0–1 | L |
Real Valladolid II – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Getafe II | 4–3 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Guadalajara | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Real Ávila | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Gimnástica Segoviana | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Calvo Sotelo | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ CF Talavera | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Real Valladolid II.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Valladolid II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II?
Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.