Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · Spain · Estadio El Palmar
Sanluqueño
Xerez
Sanluqueño vs Xerez prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sanluqueño 1.2 – 1.3 Xerez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sanluqueño and Xerez on our numbers – 34% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sanluqueño have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Xerez have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Xerez come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Sanluqueño, 1.3 for Xerez). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Xerez to win ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.44 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Xerez / FT Xerez ✗ | 22% | 4.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.86 | – |
Form
Sanluqueño – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Ciudad de Lucena | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Las Palmas II | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Badajoz | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Recreativo Huelva | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Mijas Las Lagunas | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Don Benito | 0–1 | L |
Xerez – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Tamaraceite | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Cadiz | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Marbella | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Ciudad de Lucena | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Real Betis II | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Tenerife II | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanluqueño and Xerez.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions
Real Betis II
Tenerife II
1Real Betis II to win
67%@1.52
FT
Estepona5
Tamaraceite0
1Estepona to win
65%@1.40
✓
FT
Don Benito3
Puente Genil2
1Don Benito to win
63%@1.93
✓
FT
Marbella2
Las Palmas II1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.28
✓
FT
Atlético Central1
Antoniano0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
73%@1.29
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
On our numbers Sanluqueño have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Xerez 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Sanluqueño vs Xerez?
Sanluqueño vs Xerez (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Palmar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.