Segunda División RFEF Group 2 · SpainEbro vs Girona II prediction & analysis
Ebro or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Ebro to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ebro 2.2 – 1.1 Girona II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ebro hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Girona II.
Ebro have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Girona II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.5 conceded. Ebro come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.2 for Ebro, 1.1 for Girona II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is Ebro or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.19. For a bigger price, Ebro to win at 1.85 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ebro to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ebro or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time result | Ebro ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ebro / FT Ebro ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.16 | – |
Form
Ebro – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Calamocha | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Arnedo | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Terrassa | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Osasuna II | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Reddis | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Olot | 2–2 | D |
Girona II – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Espanyol II | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Osasuna II | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ SD Logroñés | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Tudelano | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Barbastro | 3–4 | L |
| 3 May | @ Castellón II | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ebro and Girona II.
Segunda División RFEF Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona B | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Terrassa | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Espanyol II | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 4 |  Girona II | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Olot | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ebro | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Osasuna II | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Manresa | 10 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Reddis | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Utebo | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Peña Sport | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Barbastro | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Tudelano | 10 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  UD Logroñés II | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  SD Logroñés | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Náxara | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Arnedo | 10 | -13 | 6 |
| 18 |  Calamocha | 10 | -14 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ebro vs Girona II?
Our pick is Ebro or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ebro vs Girona II?
On our numbers Ebro have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Girona II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ebro vs Girona II?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Ebro vs Girona II?
Ebro vs Girona II (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.