Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain
Basconia
Amorebieta
Basconia vs Amorebieta prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Basconia 1.2 – 1.5 Amorebieta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Amorebieta shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 34% for Basconia.
Basconia have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Amorebieta have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Amorebieta come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Basconia, 1.5 for Amorebieta). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Basconia have won 1, Amorebieta have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Amorebieta to win ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.27 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.59 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Amorebieta / FT Amorebieta ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.95 | – |
Form
Basconia – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Compostela | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Portugalete | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Racing Santander II | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Eibar II | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Llanera | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Marino de Luanco | 2–1 | W |
Amorebieta – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Gimnástica Torrelavega | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Coruxo | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Gernika | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Portugalete | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Atlético Astorga | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Ourense CF | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Basconia v Amorebieta | 2–1 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions
Eibar II4
Atlético Astorga1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
68%@1.38
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Basconia vs Amorebieta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Basconia vs Amorebieta?
On our numbers Basconia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Amorebieta 45%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Amorebieta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Basconia vs Amorebieta?
Basconia vs Amorebieta (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.