Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Beroe

Beroe

LWLLW
3–3
FT

Pirin Blagoevgrad

LLLDD

Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.27 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBeroe to win ✗73% · @1.14
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.27
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49

Win chances

Beroe73%fair 1.38 · @1.14
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @5.65
Pirin Blagoevgrad7%fair 13.85 · @15.00
3.01Expected goals
2.33Beroe xG
0.68Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Beroe 2.3 – 0.7 Pirin Blagoevgrad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Beroe are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 7% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.

Beroe have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.0 conceded. Beroe come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.3 for Beroe, 0.7 for Pirin Blagoevgrad). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 3–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.60. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.27 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeroe to win ✗73%1.381.14
Double chanceBeroe or draw ✓93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.27 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.601.50
Half-time resultBeroe ahead at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beroe / FT Beroe ✗50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.49–

Form

Beroe – last 6

LWLLWW
30 Oct@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0–2L
23 Octvs Rilski Sportist3–1W
17 Octvs Ludogorets0–3L
10 Oct@ Marek2–3L
4 Oct@ FK Minyor Pernik2–1W
27 Sepvs Yantra 20191–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6

LLLDDL
30 Octvs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0–2L
23 Oct@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0–2L
17 Octvs Hebar 19181–4L
10 Octvs Spartak Pleven1–1D
4 Oct@ Lokomotiv Mezdra2–2D
26 Sep@ Rilski Sportist0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Pirin Blagoevgrad.

More Second League predictions

FT Vihren3 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1 621820 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗ FT Hebar 19183 Marek1 672013 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓ FT Ludogorets II2 Nesebar0 621919 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.21 ✓ FT Spartak Pleven1 Dobrudzha1 641818 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

On our numbers Beroe have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pirin Blagoevgrad 7%.

How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

Beroe vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.