Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo

Alcorcon

DDDLW
4–3
FT

Real Jaén

WDWDD

Alcorcon vs Real Jaén prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlcorcon to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73

Win chances

Alcorcon67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Real Jaén11%fair 8.96 · @5.00
2.79Expected goals
2.06Alcorcon xG
0.74Real Jaén xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Alcorcon 2.1 – 0.7 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Alcorcon are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 11% for Real Jaén.

Alcorcon have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Real Jaén have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.1 for Alcorcon, 0.7 for Real Jaén). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 2–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlcorcon to win ✓67%1.491.57 ▲
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓89%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.40
Half-time resultAlcorcon ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon ✗44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.73–

Form

Alcorcon – last 6

DDDLWW
30 Oct@ Atlético Madrid II1–1D
25 Octvs Ibiza3–3D
16 Octvs Huesca1–1D
10 Oct@ Teruel0–1L
3 Octvs Juventud Torremolinos5–0W
27 Sep@ Real Madrid II2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

WDWDDL
2 Novvs Algeciras3–2W
25 Oct@ Atlético Madrid II1–1D
18 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
10 Octvs Villarreal II3–3D
3 Oct@ Hércules0–0D
27 Sep@ Antequera0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Real Jaén.

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

FT Antequera3 Rayo Majadahonda1 572221 1XAntequera or draw 79%@1.22 ✓ FT FC Cartagena2 Sant Andreu2 622414 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗ FT Zaragoza2 Huesca0 642413 1XZaragoza or draw 87%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Alcorcon have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Jaén 11%.

How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?

Alcorcon vs Real Jaén (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.