Segunda División · Spain
Burgos
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Burgos 1.9 – 1.0 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Burgos hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Celta de Vigo II.
Burgos have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Celta de Vigo II have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Burgos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Burgos, 1.0 for Celta de Vigo II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Burgos to win ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Burgos or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Half-time result | Burgos ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Burgos / FT Burgos ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Burgos – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Castellón | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Oct | @ Laredo | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ FC Andorra | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Sabadell | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Granada CF | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Almeria | 1–2 | L |
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Cordoba | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Girona | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Real Sociedad II | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Sporting Gijon | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Sabadell | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Celta de Vigo II.
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Cadiz1
Oviedo2
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FT
Cordoba3
AD Ceuta FC0
1Cordoba to win
65%@1.49
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Leganes1
Albacete3
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Postponed
Granada CF
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Burgos have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celta de Vigo II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.