·

Geoje Citizen

LWWWD
2–2
FT

Geumsan Insam

DWLDD

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Geoje Citizen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGeoje Citizen to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceGeoje Citizen or draw ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22

Win chances

Geoje Citizen63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.54
Geumsan Insam16%fair 6.34 · @3.54
2.96Expected goals
2.05Geoje Citizen xG
0.91Geumsan Insam xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Geoje Citizen 2.0 – 0.9 Geumsan Insam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Geoje Citizen are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Geumsan Insam.

Geoje Citizen have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.3 per game. Geumsan Insam have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Geoje Citizen come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Geoje Citizen, 0.9 for Geumsan Insam). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).

Our pick is Geoje Citizen to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGeoje Citizen to win ✗63%1.581.80 ▲
Double chanceGeoje Citizen or draw ✓84%1.191.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Half-time resultGeoje Citizen ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Geoje Citizen / FT Geoje Citizen ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.22–

Form

Geoje Citizen – last 6

LWWWDW
31 Oct@ Gijang United1–2L
25 Octvs Jungnang Chorus Mustang4–0W
17 Octvs Haman1–0W
11 Octvs Pyeongtaek Citizen3–0W
3 Oct@ Jinju Citizen0–0D
19 Sep@ Jecheon Citizen2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Geumsan Insam – last 6

DWLDDW
31 Octvs Sejong SA2–2D
10 Octvs Namyangju2–0W
13 Sep@ Gijang United1–3L
5 Sepvs Pyeongtaek Citizen0–0D
30 Augvs Jinju Citizen1–1D
23 Aug@ Seosan Pioneer3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Geoje Citizen and Geumsan Insam.

More predictions

FT Jincheon4 Pyeongtaek Citizen1 631918 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.62 ✓ FT Jinju Citizen2 Haman1 661816 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✓ FT Namyangju3 Sejong SA1 631224 1Namyangju to win 63%@1.80 ✓ FT Seosan Pioneer1 Jecheon Citizen5 191764 2Jecheon Citizen to win 64%@1.83 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Our pick is Geoje Citizen to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

On our numbers Geoje Citizen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Geumsan Insam 16%.

How many goals will there be in Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.