III Liga Group 3 · Poland

Górnik Polkowice

DWLWD
0–4
FT

Sparta Katowice

WWWLD

Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.41Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSparta Katowice to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Win chances

Górnik Polkowice34%fair 2.94 · @2.91
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.44
Sparta Katowice46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
2.96Expected goals
1.35Górnik Polkowice xG
1.61Sparta Katowice xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.3 – 1.6 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sparta Katowice shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 34% for Górnik Polkowice.

Górnik Polkowice have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Sparta Katowice have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Sparta Katowice come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Górnik Polkowice, 1.6 for Sparta Katowice). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Górnik Polkowice have won 0, Sparta Katowice have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.41 is close to our fair price of 1.54.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSparta Katowice to win ✓46%2.192.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.54
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.541.41
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice ✓26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.02–

Form

Górnik Polkowice – last 6

DWLWDL
30 Oct@ Ślęza Wrocław2–2D
24 Octvs Goczałkowice Zdrój4–1W
17 Oct@ Stal Brzeg0–2L
9 Octvs Stilon Gorzów4–1W
2 Oct@ Zagłębie Lubin II1–1D
26 Sepvs Odra Bytom Odrzański0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sparta Katowice – last 6

WWWLDW
31 Octvs Barycz Sułów3–1W
24 Oct@ Carina Gubin3–1W
17 Octvs ROW Rybnik2–0W
10 Oct@ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra0–1L
3 Octvs Warta Gorzów1–1D
26 Sep@ Miedź Legnica II2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Górnik Polkowice v Sparta Katowice0–4

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

FT Stilon Gorzów2 Stal Brzeg2 362144 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.41 ✗ FT Carina Gubin2 Rakow II1 382239 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.49 ✓ FT ROW Rybnik1 Kluczbork2 611524 1ROW Rybnik to win 61%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Katowice 46%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?

Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.