III Liga Group 3 · Poland · ArcelorMittal ParkZaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II prediction & analysis
Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.0 – 1.0 Miedź Legnica II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zaglebie Sosnowiec are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Miedź Legnica II.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Miedź Legnica II have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Zaglebie Sosnowiec come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec, 1.0 for Miedź Legnica II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Half-time result | Zaglebie Sosnowiec ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.00 | – |
Form
Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Rakow II | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Kluczbork | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Górnik Polkowice | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–1 | W |
Miedź Legnica II – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Kluczbork | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Rakow II | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Sparta Katowice | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Ślęza Wrocław | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Miedź Legnica II.
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II?
Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II?
On our numbers Zaglebie Sosnowiec have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Miedź Legnica II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Miedź Legnica II (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at ArcelorMittal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.