III Liga Group 4 · Poland
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Korona Kielce II
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.7 – 1.9 Korona Kielce II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Korona Kielce II on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 per game. Korona Kielce II have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Korona Kielce II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.7 for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, 1.9 for Korona Kielce II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Korona Kielce II to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Korona Kielce II / FT Korona Kielce II ✗ | 25% | 3.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.13 | – |
Form
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Star Starachowice | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Wisłoka Dębica | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Sokół Kolb. | 0–1 | L |
Korona Kielce II – last 6
| 29 Oct | vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Chełmianka Chełm | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Star Starachowice | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Korona Kielce II.
More III Liga Group 4 predictions
Wisła Kraków II1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
61%@1.59
✓
FT
Chełmianka Chełm2
Wiślanie Jaśkowice1
1Chełmianka Chełm to win
68%@1.54
✓
FT
Czarni Połaniec3
Sokół Kolb.2
1Czarni Połaniec to win
65%@1.74
✓
FT
Naprzód3
Podlasie Biała Podlaska1
1Naprzód to win
61%@1.95
✓
FT
KSZO 19290
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.55
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
On our numbers Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Korona Kielce II 42%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Korona Kielce II (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.