Cup · Lithuania · Kretinga Stadium
Minija vs Dainava prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Minija 2.7 – 1.2 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Minija are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 10% for Dainava.
Minija have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.5 per game. Dainava have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Minija come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.7 for Minija, 1.2 for Dainava). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Minija have won 1, Dainava have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Minija to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Minija or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time result | Minija ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Minija / FT Minija ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.30 | – |
Form
Minija – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ FA Šiauliai II | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Ekranas | 5–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Be1 NFA | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Hegelmann II | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ Žalgiris II | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Jonava | 2–1 | W |
Dainava – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs Žalgiris II | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Atmosfera | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs BFA | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Tauras | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jul | vs Transinvest 2 | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 9 May 2026 | Minija v Dainava | 3–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Minija vs Dainava?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Minija vs Dainava?
On our numbers Minija have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dainava 10%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Dainava?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Minija vs Dainava?
Minija vs Dainava (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.