Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Ballymena Showgrounds
Ballymena United
Linfield
Ballymena United vs Linfield prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20
Value bet: Ballymena United to win @ 4.10 – our chance 31% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ballymena United 1.1 – 1.6 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Linfield shade it despite being away from home – 53% to win, against 31% for Ballymena United.
Ballymena United have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Linfield have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Linfield come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 for Ballymena United, 1.6 for Linfield). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ballymena United have won 1, Linfield have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Ballymena United to win at 4.10 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Linfield to win | 53% | 1.90 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 84% | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Linfield / FT Linfield | 29% | 3.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 11% | 9.08 | – |
Form
Ballymena United – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Portadown | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs Bangor | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Newington Youth | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Crusaders FC | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Limavady United | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cliftonville FC | 1–0 | W |
Linfield – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Coleraine FC | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Dungannon Swifts | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ Portadown | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Larne | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Carrick Rangers | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Bangor | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 8 Aug 2026 | Linfield v Ballymena United | 0–3 |
More Premiership predictions
Coleraine FC
Portadown
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
58%@1.69
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
GGBoth teams to score
66%@1.49
Glentoran
Bangor
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
67%@1.48
Larne
Dungannon Swifts
1Larne to win
68%@1.44
Limavady United
Cliftonville FC
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
63%@1.47
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ballymena United vs Linfield?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Linfield?
On our numbers Ballymena United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Linfield 53%.
How many goals will there be in Ballymena United vs Linfield?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Ballymena United vs Linfield?
Ballymena United vs Linfield (Premiership) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ballymena Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.