Premier League · Russia · Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov

LWWLL
2–0
FT

FC Orenburg

DWWDW

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: FC Orenburg to win @ 2.81 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Orenburg to win ✗40% · @2.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.72

Win chances

Krylia Sovetov37%fair 2.70 · @2.51
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.48
FC Orenburg40%fair 2.51 · @2.81
2.53Expected goals
1.24Krylia Sovetov xG
1.30FC Orenburg xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.2 – 1.3 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Krylia Sovetov and FC Orenburg on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Krylia Sovetov have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. FC Orenburg have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. FC Orenburg come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Krylia Sovetov, 1.3 for FC Orenburg). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 2 meetings, Krylia Sovetov have won 1, FC Orenburg have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, FC Orenburg to win at 2.81 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Orenburg to win ✗40%2.512.81 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.71
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.29
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Orenburg / FT FC Orenburg ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.72–

Form

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LWWLLD
2 Novvs Zenit0–3L
29 Octvs Dinamo Makhachkala2–0W
24 Oct@ Rubin2–0W
17 Octvs Fakel1–2L
14 Octvs Baltika0–2L
10 Octvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

DWWDWW
1 Novvs CSKA Moscow0–0D
28 Octvs Rodina Moskva2–1W
23 Oct@ Akhmat1–0W
19 Oct@ Rodina Moskva2–2D
15 Oct@ Rubin4–1W
10 Octvs Dinamo Makhachkala4–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026FC Orenburg v Krylia Sovetov1–0
4 Mar 2026Krylia Sovetov v FC Orenburg2–0

More Premier League predictions

FT Spartak Moscow2 Akron1 701713 1Spartak Moscow to win 70%@1.26 ✓ FT Zenit2 FC Rostov2 71209 1Zenit to win 71%@1.41 ✗ FT Baltika0 Dinamo Makhachkala1 652115 1Baltika to win 65%@1.72 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Orenburg 40%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.