NB I · Hungary

MTK Budapest

LWLWL
2–2
FT

Budapest Honved

WLLWD

MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.41 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.41Odds
2

Value bet: Budapest Honved to win @ 2.92 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMTK Budapest to win ✗40% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Win chances

MTK Budapest40%fair 2.51 · @2.11
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.32
Budapest Honved37%fair 2.68 · @2.92
3.03Expected goals
1.54MTK Budapest xG
1.48Budapest Honved xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: MTK Budapest 1.5 – 1.5 Budapest Honved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates MTK Budapest and Budapest Honved on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

MTK Budapest have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.3 per game. Budapest Honved have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for MTK Budapest, 1.5 for Budapest Honved). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, MTK Budapest have won 0, Budapest Honved have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.41 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Budapest Honved to win at 2.92 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMTK Budapest to win ✗40%2.512.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.54
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.41
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT MTK Budapest / FT MTK Budapest ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.68–

Form

MTK Budapest – last 6

LWLWLL
31 Oct@ Zalaegerszegi TE0–3L
28 Oct@ Monori Se5–1W
24 Oct@ Ferencvarosi TC0–5L
16 Octvs Vasas1–0W
10 Oct@ Paks0–3L
20 Sepvs Gyori ETO FC1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Budapest Honved – last 6

WLLWDL
31 Octvs Kisvarda FC1–0W
27 Oct@ Gyirmot SE1–3L
24 Octvs Debreceni VSC0–2L
17 Oct@ Nyiregyhaza1–0W
11 Octvs Ujpest1–1D
18 Sep@ Puskas Academy1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Budapest Honved v MTK Budapest3–3

More NB I predictions

FT Paks2 Zalaegerszegi TE1 661420 1Paks to win 66%@1.85 ✓ FT Kisvarda FC0 Puskas Academy1 322147 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.21 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?

On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Budapest Honved 37%.

How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?

MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.