Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Aurora
Mixco
Aurora vs Mixco prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26
Value bet: Mixco to win @ 3.44 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aurora 1.5 – 1.3 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Aurora hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 37% for Mixco.
Aurora have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mixco have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Aurora, 1.3 for Mixco). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Aurora have won 0, Mixco have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Mixco to win at 3.44 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aurora to win | 44% | 2.27 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 81% | 1.24 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.27 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aurora / FT Aurora | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 9% | 11.34 | – |
Form
Aurora – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Antigua GFC | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Malacateco | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Suchitepéquez | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Deportivo San Pedro | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Comunicaciones | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Xelajú | 2–1 | W |
Mixco – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Deportivo San Pedro | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Nov | @ Comunicaciones | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | vs Xelajú | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Guastatoya | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Municipal | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Cobán Imperial | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 13 Sep 2026 | Mixco v Aurora | 3–2 |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Aurora v Mixco | 1–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Mixco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Aurora vs Mixco?
On our numbers Aurora have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mixco 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Aurora vs Mixco?
Aurora vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.