Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Verapaz
Cobán Imperial
Xelajú
Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Xelajú to win @ 3.52 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.5 – 1.2 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cobán Imperial hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Xelajú.
Cobán Imperial have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Xelajú have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Cobán Imperial, 1.2 for Xelajú). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Cobán Imperial have won 0, Xelajú have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Xelajú to win at 3.52 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cobán Imperial to win ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | 1.98 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.79 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.16 | – |
Form
Cobán Imperial – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Guastatoya | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Suchitepéquez | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Marquense | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Mixco | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Municipal | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Antigua GFC | 1–2 | L |
Xelajú – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Marquense | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Mixco | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Municipal | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Antigua GFC | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Malacateco | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Aurora | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Sep 2026 | Xelajú v Cobán Imperial | 0–0 |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Xelajú | 1–1 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
Marquense0
Comunicaciones2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.20
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Xelajú 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.