Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Stade Joseph Marien

Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW
1–0
FT

Genk

LWWWL

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Union St. Gilloise to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.68

Win chances

Union St. Gilloise66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.90
Genk12%fair 8.40 · @5.00
3.25Expected goals
2.31Union St. Gilloise xG
0.94Genk xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.3 – 0.9 Genk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Union St. Gilloise are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 12% for Genk.

Union St. Gilloise have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Genk have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Union St. Gilloise come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.3 goals (2.3 for Union St. Gilloise, 0.9 for Genk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓66%1.511.57
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.631.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.53
Half-time resultUnion St. Gilloise ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.68–

Form

Union St. Gilloise – last 6

WWWWWD
5 Nov@ Celta Vigo2–1W
31 Oct@ SK Beveren2–1W
25 Octvs Cercle Brugge5–2W
22 Octvs Hapoel Beer Sheva4–0W
18 Octvs Nijlen3–0W
15 Octvs Real Sociedad1–1D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Genk – last 6

LWWWLL
31 Oct@ KV Mechelen0–1L
25 Octvs Standard Liege2–1W
17 Oct@ Excelsior Virton2–0W
10 Octvs Kortrijk3–0W
3 Octvs Fortuna Sittard1–2L
20 Sep@ Club Brugge KV0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Genk.

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

FT Club Brugge KV1 Anderlecht1 652113 1Club Brugge KV to win 65%@1.55 ✗ FT Gent1 Kortrijk0 672310 1Gent to win 67%@1.52 ✓ FT St. Truiden4 Zulte Waregem1 582418 1XSt. Truiden or draw 82%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?

Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?

On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genk 12%.

How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?

Union St. Gilloise vs Genk (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.