First League · Montenegro · Stadion u Parku

Arsenal Tivat

LDDLD
0–1
FT

Jezero

WDLDW

Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.34Odds
2

Value bet: Jezero to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultJezero to win ✓47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.24

Win chances

Arsenal Tivat30%fair 3.28 · @2.71
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.02
Jezero47%fair 2.12 · @2.38
2.44Expected goals
1.05Arsenal Tivat xG
1.39Jezero xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%

From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.0 – 1.4 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Jezero shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 30% for Arsenal Tivat.

Arsenal Tivat have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Jezero have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Jezero come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for Arsenal Tivat, 1.4 for Jezero). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Arsenal Tivat have won 0, Jezero have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 7.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Jezero to win at 2.38 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJezero to win ✓47%2.122.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.27
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jezero / FT Jezero ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12%8.24–

Form

Arsenal Tivat – last 6

LDDLDL
3 Nov@ Otrant-Olympic1–3L
28 Octvs Bokelj0–0D
22 Oct@ Buducnost Podgorica3–3D
17 Octvs Mornar1–2L
13 Octvs Grbalj1–1D
19 Sepvs Sutjeska0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jezero – last 6

WDLDWD
3 Novvs Dečić1–0W
29 Oct@ Sutjeska2–2D
23 Octvs Petrovac1–2L
18 Oct@ Mladost DG0–0D
13 Oct@ Lovćen5–1W
8 Oct@ Mornar3–3D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Jezero v Arsenal Tivat5–2

More First League predictions

FT Buducnost Podgorica1 Otrant-Olympic4 472331 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jezero 47%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero?

Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.