1. SNL · Slovenia · Nogometni park Brinje

Brinje-Grosuplje

DDWLL
1–0
FT

Aluminij

WDDLL

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Aluminij to win @ 2.58 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultAluminij to win ✗44% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.84

Win chances

Brinje-Grosuplje34%fair 2.96 · @2.44
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.12
Aluminij44%fair 2.26 · @2.58
2.65Expected goals
1.21Brinje-Grosuplje xG
1.44Aluminij xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Brinje-Grosuplje 1.2 – 1.4 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Aluminij shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Brinje-Grosuplje.

Brinje-Grosuplje have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Aluminij have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Brinje-Grosuplje, 1.4 for Aluminij). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, Brinje-Grosuplje have won 0, Aluminij have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Aluminij to win at 2.58 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAluminij to win ✗44%2.262.58 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.401.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aluminij / FT Aluminij ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.84–

Form

Brinje-Grosuplje – last 6

DDWLLW
1 Nov@ Mura0–0D
29 Octvs Bravo0–0D
25 Oct@ Videm2–0W
18 Oct@ Koper0–5L
11 Octvs Maribor1–2L
20 Sepvs Radomlje2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aluminij – last 6

WDDLLD
31 Octvs Radomlje5–0W
28 Oct@ Nafta0–0D
23 Oct@ Brežice2–2D
16 Octvs Olimpija Ljubljana0–1L
10 Oct@ Celje0–1L
19 Sep@ Maribor2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Aug 2026Aluminij v Brinje-Grosuplje4–2
13 May 2026Brinje-Grosuplje v Aluminij0–1

More 1. SNL predictions

FT Radomlje1 Celje2 191764 2Celje to win 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij?

On our numbers Brinje-Grosuplje have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aluminij 44%.

How many goals will there be in Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij?

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Nogometni park Brinje.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.