League Two · Scotland · Borough Briggs

Elgin City

LWWDL
0–2
FT

Dumbarton

LWDLL

Elgin City vs Dumbarton prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Elgin City to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.59 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.59Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultElgin City to win ✗67% · @1.59
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✗87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.31

Win chances

Elgin City67%fair 1.49 · @1.59
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.90
Dumbarton13%fair 7.42 · @4.30
3.16Expected goals
2.25Elgin City xG
0.91Dumbarton xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Elgin City 2.2 – 0.9 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Elgin City are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 13% for Dumbarton.

Elgin City have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Dumbarton have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Elgin City, 0.9 for Dumbarton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Elgin City have won 0, Dumbarton have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Elgin City to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.59 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElgin City to win ✗67%1.491.59 ▲
Double chanceElgin City or draw ✗87%1.161.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.48
Half-time resultElgin City ahead at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elgin City / FT Elgin City ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.31–

Form

Elgin City – last 6

LWWDLW
3 Nov@ Airdrie United0–5L
31 Oct@ Kelty Hearts1–0W
24 Oct@ Stirling University2–1W
17 Octvs Edinburgh City0–0D
13 Octvs Aberdeen U210–1L
10 Oct@ Forfar Athletic2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dumbarton – last 6

LWDLLW
31 Oct@ Edinburgh City1–2L
24 Octvs Keith1–0W
17 Octvs Stirling Albion1–1D
13 Oct@ Clydebank0–4L
10 Oct@ Clyde1–2L
3 Octvs Forfar Athletic2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Dumbarton v Elgin City2–1

More League Two predictions

FT Annan Athletic1 Kelty Hearts2 382239 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.55 ✓ FT Clyde3 Spartans2 471933 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.47 ✓ FT Forfar Athletic1 Edinburgh City1 352144 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.57 ✓ FT Stranraer3 Stirling Albion0 612216 1Stranraer to win 61%@1.66 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elgin City vs Dumbarton?

Our pick is Elgin City to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.

Who will win Elgin City vs Dumbarton?

On our numbers Elgin City have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dumbarton 13%.

How many goals will there be in Elgin City vs Dumbarton?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Elgin City vs Dumbarton?

Elgin City vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Briggs.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.