League One · Scotland · Recreation Park
Alloa Athletic
Airdrie United
Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.2 – 1.3 Airdrie United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Alloa Athletic and Airdrie United on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Alloa Athletic have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Airdrie United have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Alloa Athletic, 1.3 for Airdrie United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Alloa Athletic have won 1, Airdrie United have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.38.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Airdrie United to win ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.16 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Airdrie United / FT Airdrie United ✓ | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.52 | – |
Form
Alloa Athletic – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Clydebank | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Peterhead | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Queen of the South | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ East Fife | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Annan Athletic | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Hamilton Academical | 0–3 | L |
Airdrie United – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Elgin City | 5–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Cove Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Ross County | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Hamilton Academical | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Hearts U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ East Kilbride | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 12 Sep 2026 | Airdrie United v Alloa Athletic | 1–0 |
| 5 May 2026 | Alloa Athletic v Airdrie United | 1–0 |
More League One predictions
Cove Rangers4
Hamilton Academical0
2Hamilton Academical to win
66%@1.59
✗
FT
Montrose1
East Fife2
1XMontrose or draw
82%@1.22
✗
FT
Queen of the South1
East Kilbride2
GGBoth teams to score
65%@1.44
✓
FT
Ross County4
Peterhead1
GGBoth teams to score
57%@1.95
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Airdrie United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.