1 Lyga · LithuaniaHegelmann II vs BFA prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hegelmann II 1.5 – 1.7 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
BFA shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 36% for Hegelmann II.
Hegelmann II have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. BFA have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.5 for Hegelmann II, 1.7 for BFA). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hegelmann II have won 1, BFA have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | BFA to win ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | 2.26 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT BFA / FT BFA ✗ | 26% | 3.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.40 | – |
Form
Hegelmann II – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Babrungas | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Tauras | 4–4 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Dainava | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Transinvest 2 | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs FA Šiauliai II | 5–1 | W |
BFA – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Minija | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | @ Jonava | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Žalgiris II | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Atmosfera | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Garliava | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Babrungas | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 20 Jun 2026 | BFA v Hegelmann II | 0–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs BFA?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs BFA?
On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and BFA 44%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs BFA?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Hegelmann II vs BFA?
Hegelmann II vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.