1 Lyga · LithuaniaBabrungas vs Hegelmann II prediction & analysis
Babrungas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Babrungas 2.0 – 1.0 Hegelmann II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Babrungas are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 17% for Hegelmann II.
Babrungas have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Hegelmann II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Babrungas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Babrungas, 1.0 for Hegelmann II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Babrungas have won 1, Hegelmann II have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Babrungas to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.62.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Babrungas to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Babrungas or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Babrungas ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.84 | – |
Form
Babrungas – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Minija | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Jonava | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Žalgiris II | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Atmosfera | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ BFA | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Garliava | 1–0 | W |
Hegelmann II – last 6
| 16 Oct | vs Tauras | 4–4 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Dainava | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Transinvest 2 | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs FA Šiauliai II | 5–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Jun 2026 | Hegelmann II v Babrungas | 0–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Babrungas vs Hegelmann II?
Our pick is Babrungas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Babrungas vs Hegelmann II?
On our numbers Babrungas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hegelmann II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Babrungas vs Hegelmann II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Babrungas vs Hegelmann II?
Babrungas vs Hegelmann II (1 Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.