1 Lyga · LithuaniaGarliava vs Žalgiris II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Garliava 1.3 – 1.5 Žalgiris II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Žalgiris II shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 36% for Garliava.
Garliava have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Žalgiris II have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Žalgiris II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.3 for Garliava, 1.5 for Žalgiris II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Garliava have won 0, Žalgiris II have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.74.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Žalgiris II to win ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Žalgiris II / FT Žalgiris II ✓ | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.21 | – |
Form
Garliava – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ FA Šiauliai II | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Atmosfera | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Dainava | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs BFA | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Ekranas | 0–1 | L |
Žalgiris II – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Atmosfera | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ BFA | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Babrungas | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Tauras | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Dainava | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 13 Jun 2026 | Žalgiris II v Garliava | 2–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
On our numbers Garliava have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Žalgiris II 45%.
How many goals will there be in Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Garliava vs Žalgiris II?
Garliava vs Žalgiris II (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.