1 Lyga · LithuaniaDainava vs Babrungas prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dainava 1.2 – 1.3 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Dainava and Babrungas on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Dainava have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Babrungas have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Dainava, 1.3 for Babrungas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Dainava have won 0, Babrungas have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 53% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.88.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Babrungas to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Babrungas / FT Babrungas ✗ | 23% | 4.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.13 | – |
Form
Dainava – last 6
| 2 Aug | vs Tauras | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jul | vs Transinvest 2 | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | vs Neptūną Klaipėda | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | vs TransINVEST Vilnius | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Jun | vs FA Šiauliai II | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Jun | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 2–0 | W |
Babrungas – last 6
| 3 Aug | @ Transinvest 2 | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Ekranas | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | @ Kauno Žalgiris II | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | @ FA Šiauliai II | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | vs Kauno Žalgiris II | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jun | vs Be1 NFA | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Mar 2026 | Babrungas v Dainava | 3–1 |
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 30 | +57 | 74 |
| 2 |  Babrungas | 30 | +42 | 74 |
| 3 |  Be1 NFA | 30 | +20 | 59 |
| 4 |  Žalgiris II | 30 | +9 | 53 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  BFA | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 7 |  Dainava | 30 | +15 | 48 |
| 8 |  Neptūną Klaipėda | 30 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 30 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 30 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 30 | -23 | 29 |
| 13 |  Transinvest 2 | 30 | -28 | 29 |
| 14 |  Hegelmann II | 30 | -29 | 28 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 30 | -38 | 18 |
| 16 |  Ekranas | 30 | -38 | 18 |
More 1 Lyga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dainava vs Babrungas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Dainava vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Dainava have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Babrungas 42%.
How many goals will there be in Dainava vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Dainava vs Babrungas?
Dainava vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.