J3 League · Japan · Sunpro Alwin
Matsumoto Yamaga
Kanazawa
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Kanazawa to win @ 3.08 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 – 1.3 Kanazawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Matsumoto Yamaga and Kanazawa on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Matsumoto Yamaga have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Kanazawa have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Matsumoto Yamaga, 1.3 for Kanazawa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Kanazawa to win at 3.08 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Matsumoto Yamaga to win ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | 2.17 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.81 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗ | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.85 | – |
Form
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Kamatamare Sanuki | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Fukushima United | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Renofa Yamaguchi | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | vs Thespakusatsu Gunma | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Parceiro Nagano | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–1 | L |
Kanazawa – last 6
| 3 Nov | vs Parceiro Nagano | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | vs Thespakusatsu Gunma | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Biwako Shiga | 5–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Kamatamare Sanuki | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Nara Club | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ Osaka | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Kanazawa.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kanazawa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.