J3 League · Japan · Sagamihara Gion Stadium

Sagamihara

WWDLW
1–0
FT

Kagoshima United

DDLWW

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKagoshima United to win ✗60% · @1.72
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✗84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83

Win chances

Sagamihara16%fair 6.42 · @3.86
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.54
Kagoshima United60%fair 1.67 · @1.72
2.84Expected goals
0.91Sagamihara xG
1.93Kagoshima United xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Sagamihara 0.9 – 1.9 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Kagoshima United shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 16% for Sagamihara.

Sagamihara have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Kagoshima United have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Sagamihara come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Sagamihara, 1.9 for Kagoshima United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✗60%1.671.72
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✗84%1.181.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.68
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.311.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Half-time resultKagoshima United ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.83–

Form

Sagamihara – last 6

WWDLWW
3 Nov@ Gainare Tottori1–0W
31 Oct@ Kochi United3–1W
24 Octvs Tochigi SC0–0D
21 Oct@ FC Gifu1–2L
18 Oct@ Biwako Shiga2–0W
9 Octvs Kamatamare Sanuki3–2W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kagoshima United – last 6

DDLWWL
3 Nov@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–1D
31 Octvs Roasso Kumamoto1–1D
24 Oct@ Osaka1–2L
21 Octvs Kochi United3–1W
17 Octvs Ehime FC4–2W
11 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Kagoshima United.

More J3 League predictions

FT Roasso Kumamoto1 Renofa Yamaguchi2 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Gainare Tottori0 Tochigi SC1 312247 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓ FT Parceiro Nagano0 Kamatamare Sanuki1 472231 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Sagamihara have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kagoshima United 60%.

How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United?

Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.