Challenge League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
Étoile Carouge
FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Winterthur 2.0 – 1.0 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Winterthur are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Étoile Carouge.
FC Winterthur have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Étoile Carouge have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. FC Winterthur come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for FC Winterthur, 1.0 for Étoile Carouge). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, FC Winterthur have won 1, Étoile Carouge have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.54 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Winterthur to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | FC Winterthur or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.54 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.63 |
| Half-time result | FC Winterthur ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Winterthur / FT FC Winterthur ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.97 | – |
Form
FC Winterthur – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ FC WIL 1900 | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Stade Nyonnais | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs FC Luzern | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ Neuchatel Xamax FC | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs FC Basel 1893 | 7–3 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs FC Aarau | 2–1 | W |
Étoile Carouge – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs SC Kriens | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ FC Aarau | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | @ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Yverdon Sport | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ SC Kriens | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs FC Winterthur | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Sep 2026 | Étoile Carouge v FC Winterthur | 0–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Étoile Carouge 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge?
FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.