Super Liga · Serbia · Gradski Stadion
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani prediction & analysis
Novi Pazar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Novi Pazar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Novi Pazar 1.6 – 0.7 Mladost Lucani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Novi Pazar hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 16% for Mladost Lucani.
Novi Pazar have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Mladost Lucani have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Novi Pazar, 0.7 for Mladost Lucani). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Novi Pazar have won 1, Mladost Lucani have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Novi Pazar or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Novi Pazar to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novi Pazar to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Novi Pazar or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.28 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novi Pazar / FT Novi Pazar ✓ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.56 | – |
Form
Novi Pazar – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Radnicki 1923 | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ FK Vozdovac | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Radnicki NIS | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs IMT Novi Beograd | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ FK Partizan | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Zemun | 2–2 | D |
Mladost Lucani – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Radnik Surdulica | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Teleoptik | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Vojvodina | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ FK Crvena Zvezda | 1–5 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs OFK Beograd | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Macva | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 26 Jul 2026 | Mladost Lucani v Novi Pazar | 0–0 |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Mladost Lucani v Novi Pazar | 0–2 |
More Super Liga predictions
Cukaricki2
Radnicki NIS1
1Cukaricki to win
65%@1.67
✓
FT
FK Partizan1
Macva2
1FK Partizan to win
68%@1.25
✗
FT
Radnik Surdulica2
OFK Beograd1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.28
✓
FT
Vojvodina0
FK Crvena Zvezda1
2FK Crvena Zvezda to win
62%@1.80
✓
FT
Železničar Pančevo3
Radnicki 19231
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
✓
FT
Zemun1
IMT Novi Beograd1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.30
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Our pick is Novi Pazar or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
On our numbers Novi Pazar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mladost Lucani 16%.
How many goals will there be in Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani?
Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.