Ekstraklasa · Poland

Widzew Łódź

LDDLD
3–0
FT

Pogon Szczecin

LWWWD

Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.37Odds
2

Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 3.14 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✗41% · @3.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Win chances

Widzew Łódź37%fair 2.72 · @2.03
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.64
Pogon Szczecin41%fair 2.43 · @3.14
2.81Expected goals
1.36Widzew Łódź xG
1.45Pogon Szczecin xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Widzew Łódź 1.4 – 1.5 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Widzew Łódź have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Pogon Szczecin have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Pogon Szczecin come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Widzew Łódź, 1.5 for Pogon Szczecin). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.37 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Pogon Szczecin to win at 3.14 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPogon Szczecin to win ✗41%2.433.14 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.58
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.37
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%11.43–

Form

Widzew Łódź – last 6

LDDLDD
31 Oct@ GKS Katowice2–3L
23 Octvs Gornik Zabrze1–1D
16 Octvs Wisla Krakow0–0D
11 Oct@ Piast Gliwice1–2L
18 Sepvs Wieczysta Kraków2–2D
13 Sep@ Legia Warszawa1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogon Szczecin – last 6

LWWWDW
2 Nov@ Raków Częstochowa1–3L
24 Octvs Radomiak Radom4–3W
17 Oct@ GKS Katowice1–0W
11 Octvs Korona Kielce2–0W
26 Sepvs Udinese1–1D
20 Sep@ Piast Gliwice2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Widzew Łódź and Pogon Szczecin.

More Ekstraklasa predictions

FT Korona Kielce0 Radomiak Radom2 612316 1Korona Kielce to win 61%@1.70 ✗ FT Slask Wroclaw0 Piast Gliwice0 352044 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.45 ✗ FT Gornik Zabrze2 Wieczysta Kraków1 631918 1Gornik Zabrze to win 63%@1.49 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?

On our numbers Widzew Łódź have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogon Szczecin 41%.

How many goals will there be in Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin?

Widzew Łódź vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.