Eredivisie · Netherlands · WerkTalent Stadion

ADO Den Haag

LDLWD

3–1

Sparta Rotterdam

WDLWD

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction & analysis

66%

Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Value bet: Sparta Rotterdam to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗40% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Win chances

ADO Den Haag37%fair 2.70 · @2.50

Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60

Sparta Rotterdam40%fair 2.48 · @2.70

3.44Expected goals

1.68ADO Den Haag xG

1.76Sparta Rotterdam xG

66%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%

1–28%

2–18%

2–27%

0–16%

1–05%

From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 1.7 – 1.8 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

ADO Den Haag have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Sparta Rotterdam have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.

We expect around 3.4 goals (1.7 for ADO Den Haag, 1.8 for Sparta Rotterdam). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.52. For a bigger price, Sparta Rotterdam to win at 2.70 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sparta Rotterdam to win ✗	40%	2.48	2.70 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	1.53
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.73	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sparta Rotterdam / FT Sparta Rotterdam ✗	24%	4.11	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.98	–

Form

ADO Den Haag – last 6

LDLWDD

1 Nov	@ PEC Zwolle	0–1	L
27 Oct	@ Excelsior '31	1–1	D
24 Oct	vs Heerenveen	2–3	L
17 Oct	vs PSV Eindhoven	2–1	W
11 Oct	@ Telstar	2–2	D
19 Sep	vs Cambuur	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Sparta Rotterdam – last 6

WDLWDL

1 Nov	@ Groningen	3–2	W
28 Oct	vs Fortuna Sittard	2–2	D
25 Oct	vs Ajax	1–2	L
17 Oct	vs Willem II	3–2	W
10 Oct	@ GO Ahead Eagles	3–3	D
19 Sep	vs Heerenveen	0–4	L

2.0Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Sparta Rotterdam.

Eredivisie table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	2	2	+25	26
2	Feyenoord	12	7	4	1	+19	25
3	Ajax	12	7	4	1	+17	25
4	Twente	12	7	3	2	+18	24
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	2	3	+8	23
6	Heerenveen	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	Fortuna Sittard	12	5	5	2	0	20
8	GO Ahead Eagles	12	4	5	3	-3	17
9	Groningen	12	4	3	5	+1	15
10	Cambuur	12	4	3	5	-2	15
11	NEC Nijmegen	12	3	5	4	-1	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	12	3	3	6	-8	12
13	PEC Zwolle	12	3	3	6	-11	12
14	Utrecht	12	3	3	6	-13	12
15	Excelsior	12	3	2	7	-13	11
16	Telstar	12	2	4	6	-7	10
17	ADO Den Haag	12	2	3	7	-9	9
18	Willem II	12	0	3	9	-29	3

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub →

Fortuna Sittard2

Telstar2 482230 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓ FT

Excelsior0

GO Ahead Eagles1 322148 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sparta Rotterdam 40%.

How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

When is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at WerkTalent Stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.