First League · Macedonia
Sileks
Vardar Skopje
Sileks vs Vardar Skopje prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Vardar Skopje to win @ 3.21 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sileks 1.3 – 1.2 Vardar Skopje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sileks and Vardar Skopje on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sileks have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.2 per game. Vardar Skopje have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.3 for Sileks, 1.2 for Vardar Skopje). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Sileks have won 0, Vardar Skopje have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Vardar Skopje to win at 3.21 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sileks to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sileks / FT Sileks ✗ | 23% | 4.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.95 | – |
Form
Sileks – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Skopje | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | @ Pelister | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Bashkimi Kumanovo | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Aresimi | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Tikveš | 0–0 | D |
Vardar Skopje – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Struga | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Tikveš | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Shkendija | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Bregalnica Štip | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Skopje | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Aug 2026 | Vardar Skopje v Sileks | 4–1 |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Sileks v Vardar Skopje | 0–1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?
On our numbers Sileks have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vardar Skopje 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?
Sileks vs Vardar Skopje (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.