First League · Macedonia
Aresimi
Shkëndija Haraçinë
Aresimi vs Shkëndija Haraçinë prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Value bet: Aresimi to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aresimi 1.4 – 1.3 Shkëndija Haraçinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Aresimi and Shkëndija Haraçinë on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Aresimi have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Shkëndija Haraçinë have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Aresimi, 1.3 for Shkëndija Haraçinë). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Aresimi have won 1, Shkëndija Haraçinë have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Aresimi to win at 2.62 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aresimi to win ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aresimi / FT Aresimi ✗ | 23% | 4.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.11 | – |
Form
Aresimi – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Bashkimi Kumanovo | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Bregalnica Štip | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Tikveš | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Sileks | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | @ Mogila | 12–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Struga | 0–6 | L |
Shkëndija Haraçinë – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Tikveš | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | @ Bashkimi Kumanovo | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Sileks | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Struga | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Shkendija | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Vardar Skopje | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 22 Aug 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë v Aresimi | 0–2 |
More First League predictions
Bashkimi Kumanovo1
Bregalnica Štip1
2Bregalnica Štip to win
63%@1.78
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aresimi vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Aresimi vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
On our numbers Aresimi have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shkëndija Haraçinë 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aresimi vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Aresimi vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
Aresimi vs Shkëndija Haraçinë (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.