Primera A · Colombia · Estadio La Independencia

Chico

LDWLL
2–1
FT

Internacional de Bogota

WLWWD

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Internacional de Bogota to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultInternacional de Bogota to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02

Win chances

Chico33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Internacional de Bogota45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
2.53Expected goals
1.14Chico xG
1.40Internacional de Bogota xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Chico 1.1 – 1.4 Internacional de Bogota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Internacional de Bogota shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 33% for Chico.

Chico have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Internacional de Bogota have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Internacional de Bogota come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Chico, 1.4 for Internacional de Bogota). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Chico have won 0, Internacional de Bogota have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Internacional de Bogota to win at 2.38 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional de Bogota to win ✗45%2.232.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.36 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional de Bogota / FT Internacional de Bogota ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.02–

Form

Chico – last 6

LDWLLL
2 Nov@ Deportivo Cali0–2L
28 Octvs Junior1–1D
24 Octvs Bucaramanga1–0W
20 Oct@ Deportivo Pereira0–2L
17 Octvs Atletico Nacional1–4L
12 Octvs Cucuta0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Internacional de Bogota – last 6

WLWWDD
29 Octvs Independiente Medellin3–1W
25 Oct@ Alianza Valledupar0–1L
21 Octvs Fortaleza FC2–1W
16 Octvs Llaneros4–1W
11 Oct@ Junior2–2D
4 Octvs Once Caldas1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Internacional de Bogota v Chico4–0

More Primera A predictions

FT Once Caldas1 Águilas Doradas0 652312 1Once Caldas to win 65%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

On our numbers Chico have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Internacional de Bogota 45%.

How many goals will there be in Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Chico vs Internacional de Bogota?

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.