Primera División · Peru · Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Alianza Lima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.8 – 1.9 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alianza Lima travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 17% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Alianza Lima have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Alianza Lima come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (0.8 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 1.9 for Alianza Lima). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won 0, Alianza Lima have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Alianza Lima to win at 1.75 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alianza Lima to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Alianza Lima or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Alianza Lima ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.01 | – |
Form
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ UCV Moquegua | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | vs Cusco | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | @ Deportivo Garcilaso | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs ADT | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Atletico Grau | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | @ Cienciano | 1–1 | D |
Alianza Lima – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs Cienciano | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Sporting Cristal | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ UCV Moquegua | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Atletico Grau | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Cusco | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Oct | vs Palestino | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Alianza Lima v Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 3–0 |
More Primera División predictions
FBC Melgar2
Juan Pablo II College1
1FBC Melgar to win
69%@1.22
✓
FT
Cienciano1
Sport Huancayo2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
64%@1.50
✓
FT
Sport Boys0
UTC Cajamarca0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.20
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Lima 62%.
How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.