Superliga · Denmark · MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland
Sonderjyske
FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 2.4 – 1.1 Sonderjyske expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Midtjylland are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Sonderjyske.
FC Midtjylland have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Sonderjyske have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded. FC Midtjylland come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 for FC Midtjylland, 1.1 for Sonderjyske). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, FC Midtjylland have won 2, Sonderjyske have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Midtjylland to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | FC Midtjylland or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Half-time result | FC Midtjylland ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.40 | – |
Form
FC Midtjylland – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Ajax | 1–6 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ FC Nordsjaelland | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Oct | vs Odense | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Lyngby | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs St. Truiden | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Viborg | 2–1 | W |
Sonderjyske – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs FC Copenhagen | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ AC Horsens | 1–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Silkeborg | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Aarhus | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Randers FC | 4–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ AB Copenhagen | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Jul 2026 | Sonderjyske v FC Midtjylland | 2–3 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Sonderjyske v FC Midtjylland | 1–2 |
More Superliga predictions
FC Copenhagen1
Brondby0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.25
✗
FT
Aarhus2
AC Horsens0
1Aarhus to win
66%@1.70
✓
FT
Randers FC1
FC Nordsjaelland6
X2FC Nordsjaelland or draw
85%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sonderjyske 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske?
FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.