HNL · Croatia · Stadion Varteks
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.0 – 2.0 Dinamo Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dinamo Zagreb travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 19% for NK Varazdin.
NK Varazdin have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Dinamo Zagreb have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Dinamo Zagreb come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.0 for NK Varazdin, 2.0 for Dinamo Zagreb). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, NK Varazdin have won 0, Dinamo Zagreb have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dinamo Zagreb to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| Double chance | Dinamo Zagreb or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.42 |
| Half-time result | Dinamo Zagreb ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dinamo Zagreb / FT Dinamo Zagreb ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.52 | – |
Form
NK Varazdin – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ HNK Rijeka | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs NK Slaven Belupo | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ HNK Hajduk Split | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs NK Osijek | 0–0 | D |
Dinamo Zagreb – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Sunderland | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Rudes | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs HNK Rijeka | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs NEC Nijmegen | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ NK Slaven Belupo | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Anderlecht | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb v NK Varazdin | 3–1 |
| 22 Feb 2026 | NK Varazdin v Dinamo Zagreb | 0–4 |
More HNL predictions
NK Osijek0
HNK Hajduk Split1
X2HNK Hajduk Split or draw
81%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dinamo Zagreb 61%.
How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb (HNL) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.