Uganda vs Botswana prediction & analysis
Uganda to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.36
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uganda 2.0 – 0.5 Botswana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uganda are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 8% for Botswana.
Uganda have taken 8 points from their last 4 matches (2W 2D 0L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.5 per game. Botswana have 2 points from their last 2 (0W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Uganda come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (2.0 for Uganda, 0.5 for Botswana). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (16%), 3–0 (10%).
Our pick is Uganda to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uganda to win | 70% | 1.42 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Uganda or draw | 92% | 1.08 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | 1.41 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.51 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Uganda ahead at half-time | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uganda / FT Uganda | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 16% | 6.22 | – |
Form
Uganda – last 4
| 5 Oct | vs Congo DR | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Congo DR | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Libya | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | @ Tunisia | 1–1 | D |
Botswana – last 2
| 28 Sep | vs Tunisia | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | @ Libya | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uganda and Botswana.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Egypt | 6 | +10 | 14 |
| 2 |  Botswana | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Mauritania | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cape Verde Islands | 6 | -4 | 4 |
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South SudanFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Uganda vs Botswana?
Our pick is Uganda to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Uganda vs Botswana?
On our numbers Uganda have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Botswana 8%.
How many goals will there be in Uganda vs Botswana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Uganda vs Botswana?
Uganda vs Botswana (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hoima City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.