1. Division · Belarus · Haradski StadiumBATE II vs Niva prediction & analysis
Niva to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: BATE II 1.0 – 2.7 Niva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Niva travel as clear favourites – 73% to win, against 11% for BATE II.
BATE II have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Niva have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Niva come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.0 for BATE II, 2.7 for Niva). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, BATE II have won 0, Niva have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Niva to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Niva to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | Niva or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.75 |
| Half-time result | Niva ahead at half-time ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Niva / FT Niva ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.13 | – |
Form
BATE II – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs FC Slutsk | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Ostrovets FC | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Slonim | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Shakhter Soligorsk | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Uni Minsk | 3–1 | W |
Niva – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Uni Minsk | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Gomel II | 5–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Orsha | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Volna | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Smorgon | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Jul 2026 | Niva v BATE II | 5–0 |
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Slutsk | 32 | +32 | 69 |
| 2 |  Lida | 32 | +15 | 69 |
| 3 |  Niva | 32 | +45 | 68 |
| 4 |  FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 32 | +32 | 63 |
| 5 |  Slonim | 32 | +13 | 53 |
| 6 |  Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 32 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Shakhter Soligorsk | 32 | +15 | 50 |
| 8 |  Bumprom | 32 | +7 | 44 |
| 9 |  Volna | 32 | -9 | 44 |
| 10 |  Ostrovets FC | 32 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 |  Smorgon | 32 | -6 | 39 |
| 12 |  Dinamo Minsk II | 31 | -3 | 38 |
| 13 |  Minsk II | 32 | -15 | 36 |
| 14 |  Orsha | 32 | -19 | 36 |
| 15 |  Uni Minsk | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 16 |  Gomel II | 32 | -25 | 24 |
| 17 |  Osipovichy | 32 | -45 | 24 |
| 18 |  BATE II | 31 | -33 | 22 |
More 1. Division predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for BATE II vs Niva?
Our pick is Niva to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win BATE II vs Niva?
On our numbers BATE II have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Niva 73%.
How many goals will there be in BATE II vs Niva?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is BATE II vs Niva?
BATE II vs Niva (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Haradski Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.