Super League · China · Beijing Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction & analysis
Beijing Guoan to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.2 – 0.8 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Beijing Guoan are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 11% for Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Beijing Guoan have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Chongqing Tongliang Long have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Beijing Guoan come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for Beijing Guoan, 0.8 for Chongqing Tongliang Long). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Beijing Guoan have won 1, Chongqing Tongliang Long have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Beijing Guoan to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | Beijing Guoan or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.73 |
| Half-time result | Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.42 | – |
Form
Beijing Guoan – last 6
| 3 Nov | @ Port FC | 4–7 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Jeonbuk Motors | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Henan Jianye | 4–3 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Qingdao Youth Island | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Buriram United | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Qingdao Jonoon | 3–0 | W |
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Qingdao Jonoon | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Yunnan Yukun | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Shandong Luneng | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Shanghai Shenhua | 1–3 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Yunnan Yukun | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Henan Jianye | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long v Beijing Guoan | 2–3 |
More Super League predictions
Dalian Zhixing3
Tianjin Teda1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.22
✓
FT
Qingdao Jonoon2
Sichuan Jiuniu2
2Sichuan Jiuniu to win
74%@1.20
✗
FT
Shandong Luneng3
Chengdu Better City2
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
65%@1.44
✓
FT
SHANGHAI SIPG6
Shenyang Urban1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
72%@1.25
✓
FT
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Youth Island0
1Shanghai Shenhua to win
70%@1.42
✓
FT
Yunnan Yukun2
Wuhan Three Towns1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
77%@1.20
✓
FT
Hangzhou Greentown4
Henan Jianye0
1XHangzhou Greentown or draw
83%@1.28
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 11%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.