Serie B · Brazil · Estadio do Cafe

Londrina

LLLWD
Wed 11 Nov 2026

Nautico Recife

LWLDL

Londrina vs Nautico Recife prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLondrina to win63% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.36

Win chances

Londrina63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.10
Nautico Recife19%fair 5.25 · @5.25
2.75Expected goals
1.88Londrina xG
0.87Nautico Recife xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Londrina 1.9 – 0.9 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Londrina are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 19% for Nautico Recife.

Londrina have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Nautico Recife have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Londrina, 0.9 for Nautico Recife). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Londrina have won 0, Nautico Recife have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.48.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLondrina to win63%1.581.53
Double chanceEither team to win82%1.221.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.741.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.311.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.861.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.481.40
Half-time resultLondrina ahead at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Londrina / FT Londrina39%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.36–

Form

Londrina – last 6

LLLWDL
5 Nov@ Botafogo SP0–4L
1 Novvs America Mineiro1–3L
24 Oct@ CRB1–2L
20 Octvs Cuiaba1–0W
13 Oct@ Athletic Club2–2D
7 Oct@ Avai1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nautico Recife – last 6

LWLDLL
8 Novvs CRB0–3L
31 Octvs Avai1–0W
27 Oct@ Juventude0–4L
19 Oct@ Goias0–0D
11 Octvs Vila Nova0–2L
8 Octvs Novorizontino0–2L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Nautico Recife v Londrina2–1

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

On our numbers Londrina have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nautico Recife 19%.

How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Londrina vs Nautico Recife?

Londrina vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Cafe.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.